Iowa State
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
73  Mohamed Hrezi JR 31:45
155  Alex Dillenbeck SO 32:05
213  Edward Kemboi SO 32:15
282  Falko Zauber JR 32:25
285  Edwin Serem SO 32:26
294  Josh Hietkamp SO 32:27
427  Charlie Paul SR 32:45
486  Brian Llamas FR 32:53
621  Steve Dado SO 33:09
819  Besu Shannon-Tamrat JR 33:29
1,435  Stephen Saylor JR 34:23
1,499  Cullen Wannarka FR 34:29
National Rank #33 of 311
Midwest Region Rank #4 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 63.6%
Most Likely Finish 29th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.7%
Top 20 at Nationals 18.4%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 58.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Mohamed Hrezi Alex Dillenbeck Edward Kemboi Falko Zauber Edwin Serem Josh Hietkamp Charlie Paul Brian Llamas Steve Dado Besu Shannon-Tamrat Stephen Saylor
Roy Griak Invitational 09/29 637 31:54 32:18 32:14 31:45 32:27 32:31 32:41 33:10 32:56 34:14
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 613 31:47 31:43 32:30 32:36 32:09 32:24 32:22
Big 12 Championships 10/27 723 31:37 32:12 32:22 32:36 32:39 33:03 32:39 33:59 34:31
Midwest Region Championships 11/09 777 31:50 31:48 32:30 32:53 33:19





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 63.6% 23.3 543 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.7 2.3 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.4 4.3 3.9 4.2 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.5 3.6
Region Championship 100% 5.3 157 0.4 5.7 28.7 23.9 18.5 13.4 9.2 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mohamed Hrezi 79.6% 74.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Alex Dillenbeck 65.7% 119.4
Edward Kemboi 63.8% 145.8
Falko Zauber 63.6% 171.5
Edwin Serem 63.6% 175.2
Josh Hietkamp 63.6% 176.3
Charlie Paul 63.6% 211.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mohamed Hrezi 14.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.0 3.4 3.5 4.6 5.6 6.0 6.0 5.7 5.3 4.9 5.0 4.1 4.0 3.2 2.9 3.1 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.8 1.8
Alex Dillenbeck 26.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.8 3.2 3.7 3.5 3.7 3.9 2.8 2.9
Edward Kemboi 34.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.5 2.2 2.5 3.0 3.1 2.7
Falko Zauber 41.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.7
Edwin Serem 41.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.6
Josh Hietkamp 42.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.1
Charlie Paul 56.9 0.0 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.4% 100.0% 0.4 0.4 2
3 5.7% 99.6% 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.7 3
4 28.7% 97.6% 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.8 3.1 5.4 6.4 5.1 2.9 1.7 0.7 28.0 4
5 23.9% 88.6% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.4 4.5 4.7 5.1 2.7 21.2 5
6 18.5% 42.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.5 2.3 2.9 10.7 7.8 6
7 13.4% 4.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 12.9 0.5 7
8 9.2% 0.4% 0.0 9.2 0.0 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 63.6% 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 2.0 3.0 4.9 8.5 11.0 11.6 10.3 10.1 36.4 0.4 63.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Wisconsin 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Georgia 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 88.9% 1.0 0.9
Virginia 82.0% 1.0 0.8
Texas A&M 52.7% 1.0 0.5
Kansas 41.8% 1.0 0.4
Arizona State 38.4% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina St. 20.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 10.7% 1.0 0.1
Washington 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 5.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 2.5% 1.0 0.0
Penn State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Providence 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 0.3% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 5.6
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 10.0